Wednesday, September 3, 2014

Sluggish Housing Market Blamed for Drop in Title Insurance Volume

Title insurance premium volume has fallen 16.6 percent during the second quarter of this year compared to last year, according to the American Land Title Association.
“A lackluster spring homebuying season that was weaker than anticipated, coupled with a substantial decline in refinance activity, resulted in the drop in title insurance premium volume,” says Michelle Korsmo, ALTA’s CEO. “Despite the lull in the housing market, the title insurance industry remains in a strong financial position posting more than $90 million in net income this quarter. … For more than a century, title insurance companies have protected the interests of home buyers through a process that has given Americans a sense of security in what is almost always their most significant investment – their homes.”
Capitalizing on Titles
During the second quarter of 2014, the title insurance industry generated $2.7 billion in title insurance premiums, compared with $3.3 billion during the second quarter of 2013, according to ALTA.
The title insurance companies that have the largest market share in the industry are Fidelity Family (34%); First American Family (27%), and Old Republic Family (14%).
Meanwhile, the following states generated the most title insurance premiums in the second quarter of 2014:
  • Texas: $430 million, down 1.5% from the second quarter of 2013
  • California: $354 million, down 21.5%
  • Florida: $264 million, down 10%
  • New York: $225 million, down 0.6%
  • Illinois: $101 million, up 2.9%


Tuesday, September 2, 2014

FHFA Seeks to Expand Mortgage Access

The Federal Housing Finance Agency announced that it wants housing finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to provide greater support to low-income mortgage borrowers and refinancers.
FHFA, which is the regulator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, outlined goals for 2015-2017 aimed at advancing that goal. It wants to ensure that low-income families account for 23 percent of the GSE’s purchases of single-family home mortgages. Also, the agency seeks to ensure that the firms raise the share of their purchases that back mortgages in low-income areas with large minority populations. FHFA has charged the firms with raising the share of their mortgage refinance operations that target low-income Americans, Reuters reports.
Find out why first-time and low-income mortgage borrowersmay have an easier time qualifying for a Federal Housing Administration loan.
More specifically, FHFA has charged Freddie Mac with gradually expanding the number of loans it backs for low-income multifamily buildings, such as apartment buildings. It wants Freddie Mac to expand such loans to 230,000 by 2017; currently it’s target for this year is 200,000.
Some lawmakers may view FHFA’s move as controversial, with critics saying that boosting the support of mortgage access for low-income borrowers is what led to the housing bubble that burst in 2006, Reuters reports.
Source: “U.S. Housing Regulator Seeks More Support for Poor Borrowers,” Reuters (Aug. 29, 2014)


Why Redfin Is Predicting a Home Sales Surge

A slowdown in home price growth and a shift in pricing power from sellers to one that more closely aligns with buyers expectations will “drive an unusual surge in home sales this fall,” predicts analysts at the real estate brokerage Redfin in its latest housing report.
“Home buyers who have been willing to wait for better deals are starting to be rewarded for their patience, as sellers drop listing prices to meet buyers’ more value-focused expectations,” Redfin notes in its latest report.
Reason for Optimism? 
The number of homes that sold above list price in July was down nearly 7 percent to 20.1 percent from 26.8 percent a year ago, according to Redfin’s analysis.
“Sellers are finally catching on that it’s not a seller’s market anymore,” says Jeremy Cunningham, a Redfin real estate professional in Virginia.
Sellers are adjusting their prices, particularly in markets that have seen a large increase in for-sale inventories or big increases in home price appreciation over the past year.
According to Redfin, Denver is the metro that has registered the largest percentage of listing price drops. Its median sales price has increased by 15 percent year-over-year compared with an average of 5.5 percent for all metros.
On the other hand, Ventura County and Sacramento, Calif., have seen more moderate price growth year-over-year but have seen their for-sale inventories rise by 25.6 percent and 18.3 percent, respectively. The two metros had the second and third largest percentage of homes for sale with price drops in July, according to Redfin.
Some of the metros with the fewest price drops tended to have smaller increases in median home prices and for-sale inventories, analysts note. On the other hand, some West Coast markets like San Francisco, San Jose, Los Angeles, and Seattle continue to sell for more than list price.
Get Ready for a Hot Fall?
Redfin analysts are predicting a surge in home sales in September and October.
“We continue to see strong buyer demand as we head into fall,” according to Redfin’s housing report, which shows the number of tours and offers picking up from July and into August. “The buyer fatigue from competing against multiple offers, bidding wars. and tight inventory is diminishing. Additionally, the widespread increase in price drops is likely to give buyers even more confidence that they have regained some of the bargaining power lost last year.”
Also, analysts note that borrowing costs still remain attractive, which will help buyers off the fence.Mortgage rates continue to hover near yearly lows. 


Thursday, August 28, 2014

More Households Optimistic About Home Prices, Finances

The majority of households believe home prices will rise within the next 12 months, according to the Federal Reserve’s newly released Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households. The survey is based on more than 4,000 American responses from 2013 about their household finances, including housing.
Public Perceptions:
“The outlook for the housing market among home owners appeared generally positive, as many home owners expected house prices in their neighborhoods to increase,” the report notes.
Twenty-six percent of home owner respondents say they expect an increase in their home value by 5 percent or less, and 14 percent expect an increase in values of greater than 5 percent. Less than 10 percent of home owners expect home prices in their neighborhoods to decline over the 12 months, according to the survey.
Many home owners are still banking on home prices. After all, 46 percent of households believe the value of their home is lower than the value in 2008, according to the report. On the other hand, 27 percent of households felt their home’s value is higher than in 2008; 20 percent say their home’s value is likely about the same; and 7 percent say they weren’t sure.
Overall, the survey found that while many households are faring well financially, a great deal are still showing signs of financial stress. More than 60 percent of respondents said that their families were either “doing OK” or “living comfortably” financially, while one-fourth of respondents said they were “just getting by” financially and 13 percent said they were struggling. The Great Recession is still being felt by many: 34 percent reported they were somewhat worse off or much worse off financially than they had been five years earlier in 2008.
Many renters expressed an interest in home ownership, but said they are facing several barriers, such as saving for a down payment and the inability to qualify for a mortgage.
For example, 49 percent of renters in the 18-to-29 age group say the biggest reason why they rent rather than own a home is because they cannot afford the down payment; it was the age group that was most likely to report down payment woes. Meanwhile, 45 to 59 year old renters were the largest share of renters to say they could not qualify for a mortgage and that’s why they are renting. 
Source: Federal Reserve


Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Commercial Sectors Surge on Improved Economy

After several false starts, the economy is finally gaining ground, and stronger growth is boosting the outlook for all of the major commercial real estate sectors, according to the National Association of REALTORS®’ quarterly commercial real estate forecast.
A Bright Spot for Commercial
“The job market has been the bright spot of the economy this year, as employers are feeling more confident about their growth prospects and adding to their payrolls,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “This gradual turnaround from being overly cautious to more optimistic should slightly boost the demand for leasing and purchase activity as well as new-construction projects in the upcoming year. … The economy can handle the inevitable rise in interest rates as long as commercial rents steadily rise to generate investor returns.”
Here’s an overview of the four major commercial real estate sectors from NAR’s latest quarterly Commercial Real Estate outlook.

Office Markets

Vacancy rates for the office market is expected to remain unchanged at 15.7 percent in the third quarter of 2015. Office rents are forecasted to rise 2.6 percent this year and 3.2 percent next year.
Markets with the lowest office vacancy rates (third quarter 2014): Washington, D.C. (9.3%); New York City (9.6%); Little Rock, Ark. (11.5%); San Francisco (12.4%); and New Orleans (12.7%).

Industrial Markets

The industrial vacancy rate is projected to drop from 8.9 percent in the third quarter of this year to 8.5 percent in the third quarter of 2015. Annual rents are expected to rise 2.4 percent this year and 2.8 percent next year.
Markets with lowest industrial vacancy rates: Orange County, Calif. (3.5%); Los Angeles (3.8%); Seattle (5.9%); Miami (6.1%); and Palm Beach, Fla. (6.6%). 

Retail Markets

The retail vacancy rate is forecasted to fall from 9.8 percent currently to 9.6 percent in the third quarter of 2015. Retail rents are projected to increase 2 percent this year and another 2.4 percent next year.
Markets with the lowest retail vacancy rates: San Francisco (3.5%); Fairfield County, Conn. (3.9%); San Jose, Calif. (4.6%); Long Island, N.Y. (5.2%); and Orange County, Calif. (5.3%).

Multifamily Markets

The apartment rental market is expected to see vacancy rates decline from 4.1 percent today to 4 percent in the third quarter of 2015. (Vacancy rates below 5 percent are considered a landlord’s market, and the high demand often justifies the higher rents.) Average apartment rents are forecasted to increase 4 percent this year as well as in 2015.
“New construction for multifamily housing has picked up in recent months and looks to be alleviating the short supply,” says Yun. “However, the demand for rental housing continues to show strength. As a result, rent growth will outpace broad consumer inflation in upcoming years.”
Markets with lowest multifamily vacancy rates: Orange County, Calif. (2.2%); Providence, R.I. (2.2%); Sacramento, Calif. (2.2%); New Haven, Conn. (2.5%); and Hartford, Conn. (2.5%). 


Friday, August 22, 2014

Strengthening Job Market, Rising Inventories Lift Home Sales

Existing-home sales were on the rise in July, with sales moving to the highest pace of this year, the National Association of REALTORS® reports in its latest housing data release. It also marked the fourth consecutive month of gains in sales. NAR’s chief economist expects the growing momentum in home sales to continue for the rest of the year.
“The number of houses for sale is higher than a year ago and tamer price increases are giving perspective buyers less hesitation about entering the market,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “More people are buying homes compared to earlier in the year, and this trend should continue with interest rates remaining low and apartment rents on the rise.”
New-Home Construction Also Rebounds:
Total existing-home sales – which reflect completed transactions for single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops – rose 2.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.15 million in July. However, sales remain 4.3 percent below last July, the peak for 2013.
Housing inventories at the end of July rose by 3.5 percent to 2.37 million existing homes for-sale – which represents a 5.5 month supply at the current sale pace, NAR reports.
Fading Affordability
Yun cautions that housing affordability is likely to decline in the upcoming years. “Although interest rates have fallen in recent months, median family incomes are still lagging behind price gains, and mortgage rates will inevitably rise with the upcoming changes in monetary policy,” Yun notes.
The median existing home price for all housing types in July was $229,900 – 4.9 percent higher than July 2013. It marks the 29th consecutive month of year-over-year price gains, NAR reports.
Distressed Sales Hit Important Milestone
Distressed homes – which include foreclosures and short sales – made up 9 percent of July sales, down from 15 percent a year ago. It was the first time that distressed sales fell to single-digits since NAR began tracking the category in October 2008 – an important milestone, NAR notes.
In July, 6 percent of sales were foreclosures (selling for an average discount of 20 percent below market value) and 3 percent were short sales (discounted, on average, 14 percent), NAR reports.  
“To put it in perspective, distressed sales represented an average of 36 percent of sales during all of 2009,” Yun says. “Fast-forward to today and rising home values are helping owners recover equity and strong job creation are assisting those who may have fallen behind on their mortgage due to unemployment or underemployment.” 
Regional Snapshot
Across the country, here’s a look at how existing-home sales performed in July:
  • Midwest: Existing-home sales rose 1.7 percent in July to an annual 1.22 million level, but remain 4.7 percent lower than July 2013 numbers; median price: $175,200, up 4.1 percent from a year ago.
  • Northeast: Existing-home sales held flat in July at an annual rate of 640,000 for the second consecutive month, remaining 9.9 percent below year ago levels; median price: $273,600, a 2.4 percent increase year-over-year
  • South: Existing-home sales increased 3.4 percent to an annual rate of 2.12 million, and are up slightly by 0.5 percent year-over-year; median price: $192,000, up 5.0 percent from a year ago.
  • West: Existing-home sales rose 2.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.17 million, but are 8.6 percent below year ago levels; median price: $304,100 -- 6.3 percent higher year-over-year.
Source: National Association of REALTORS®


Tuesday, August 12, 2014

FICO Scoring Changes May Help More Qualify for Mortgages

FICO, the nation’s most popular credit-scoring system, announced it is tweaking some of the criteria used in coming up with consumers’ scores, which could help consumers save more money in qualifying for mortgages and other types of loans.
FICO recently told lenders their high credit score "cutoffs" were stricter than necessary, and urged lenders to consider lowering minimum score requirements.
The changes include reducing the toll that overdue medical bills can take on credit scores, as well as removing other past penalties from consumers who have paid off debts that had been assigned to collection agencies. A consumer whose only major delinquency comes from an unpaid medical bill could see their credit score rise by 25 points due to the changes.
The changes come after a recent Consumer Financial Protection Bureau study, which found that both paid and unpaid medical debts were unfairly penalizing consumers’ credit ratings. An estimated 64 million Americans have a medical collection item on their credit reports, according to Nick Clements of Magnify Money, a personal finance site.
The FICO changes will go into effect this fall, but borrowers may have to wait a year or more until they see the impact of the changes in their scores, lenders say.
The changes may help consumers with blemished past credit histories or high medical debts qualify for mortgages more easily. Consumers with higher scores also might qualify for a lower rate, housing experts say.
"In recent years the [credit score requirement] has been dialed so tightly that only fairly upper-tier consumers were able to qualify for a loan," says Lawrence Yun, National Association of REALTORS®’ chief economist. "We're looking at people who are currently being denied potentially being offered a mortgage because of this."
In June, the average FICO score for a closed mortgage was 728, a drop from 742 a year prior, according to data from Ellie Mae, a company that processes mortgage applications for lenders. FICO scores range from 300 to 850.
Borrowers with higher FICO scores can usually expect to pay less in interest on a loan. A borrower with a FICO score of 675 may nab a 4.75 percent interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, which would be about  $2,086 a month in payments on a $400,000 loan, according to Informa Research Services. In comparison, a borrower with a 700 FICO score may qualify for a rate of 4.212 percent, which could drop the monthly payment to $1,959 and bring a $127 savings.
The credit scoring changes will not remove any unpaid debts from a credit report, so some lenders may still be able to factor that information into their lending decision.
“This move will ultimately make a real difference in the lives of millions of Americans, who have been shut out of the housing market or forced to pay higher mortgage interest rates because of flawed credit scores,” Steve Brown, NAR’s president, said in a statement. “Since the housing crash, overly restrictive lending has been the greatest obstacle to home ownership. NAR will continue to support efforts to broaden access to credit for qualified homebuyers.”
In other news, two of the big national credit bureaus Experian and TransUnion recently reported they’ve  added verified rental payment data into credit files, which will be used to compute a consumers’ score when applying for a mortgage. A recent TransUnion study showed that the inclusion of rental data could raise some consumers’ scores. For example, nearly 20 percent of renters’ scores rose by 10 points or more after just one month.
Source: “New FICO Criteria Could Help Borrowers,” Los Angeles Times (Aug. 8. 2014) and “Experian, TransUnion Start Adding Rent Payment Data to Credit Profiles,” Los Angeles Times (Aug. 10, 2014)