Friday, August 9, 2013

Foreclosure Fears Less Haunting to Housing Recovery

Fears over a large overhang of potential foreclosures that could threaten the housing recovery have failed to materialize — and aren’t likely to do so — according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
More housing data is supporting that statement: The number of home owners behind on their mortgage payments or facing foreclosure dropped to a five-year low in the second quarter, according to a report released Thursday by the Mortgage Bankers Association. 
At the end of June, nearly 6 percent of home mortgages were 90 days or longer past due or in the foreclosure process. That’s down from a 9.7 percent high set in late 2009, and down from 7.3 percent last year at this time. 
“At a national level, all of the indicators are good. The numbers are down where they should be down,” says Brinkmann. 
While the drop is welcome news to the housing industry, the share of home owners delinquent on their mortgages still remains well above historical levels. Prior to the housing boom, seriously delinquent rates averaged about 2.5 percent. 
Some states — particularly those that don’t require foreclosures to go through the courts for approval — are seeing some of the biggest improvements and have returned to near pre-crisis levels. California had a foreclosure rate of 1.6 percent and Arizona’s was 1.5 percent in the second quarter. These mark a drastic improvement for these states, which once were in the top five as worst foreclosure rates in the nation during the housing downturn and now are No. 37 and 38, respectively, MBA reports. 
On the other hand, judicial foreclosure states — such as Florida, New York, and New Jersey — continue to battle higher shares of foreclosures. 
“If you look at where the problems are centering now, the northeast is more of a center of attention,” Brinkmann says.
Source: “Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Five-Year Low,” The Wall Street Journal (Aug. 8, 2013)
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Thursday, August 8, 2013

Survey: Americans Upbeat on Housing, Despite Rates

Americans are increasingly optimistic about the housing market, despite the threat of a continued rise in mortgage rates, a new survey shows. Fifty-three percent of Americans expect home prices to increase by an average of 3.9 percent over the next 12 months, according to Fannie Mae’s July National Housing Survey of 1,000 home owners. Only 6 percent expect prices to fall, a new low in the survey's three-year history.
Seventy-four percent of those surveyed say now is a good time to purchase a house, and 40 percent say now is a good time to sell. But consumers are bracing themselves for higher mortgage rates: 62 percent of survey respondents say they expect rates to rise over the next year, while only 5 percent expect them to fall.
"Consumers have taken the interest-rate rise in stride,” says Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s chief economist. “Expectations for continued improvement in housing persist, and sentiment toward the current buying and selling environment is back on track from its dip last month. These results are consistent with our own analysis of previous housing cycles, which finds that interest rates and home prices are not strongly correlated."
Source: “Fannie Mae says Consumers Taking New Interest Rates in Stride,” Mortgage News Daily (Aug. 7, 2013)
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Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Home Buyers Face Higher Closing Costs

Rising mortgage rates aren't the only problem house hunters are facing. Closing costs for loan origination and other fees have increased 6 percent in the past year, according to a survey by Bankrate.com.
Borrowers with stellar credit who are making a 20 percent down payment are still forking over an average of $2,402 in closing costs on a $200,000 loan.
The main catalyst for the increase in closing costs is origination fees, which have jumped 8 percent in the past year. Rising interest rates often cause origination fees to go up, too. Lenders are also having to do more work underwriting loans. Rising mortgage rates often mean lenders make less profit on their loans, so they try to make up for the loss with higher closing fees, Guy Cecala, publisher of Inside Mortgage Finance, told USA Today.
Borrowers should shop around for mortgages because some lenders may offer loans with no origination fees, Cecala said. 
Source: “Mortgage closing costs are on the way up,” USA Today (Aug. 5, 2013)
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Monday, August 5, 2013

How to Identify a Healthy Housing Market

Houston-based real estate consulting firm Metrostudy uses "drive-bys" to help it gauge the health of the residential market in different U.S. metro areas.  Employees drive through newly built—or still under construction—housing developments from Texas to Florida and begin observing. 
If there are toys on a house's front lawn, for example, that is a good sign that a family has moved in.  Another positive sign is if a garden hose is attached to the side of the house.  Not only is the home occupied, it also has an owner who cares about his or her property. 
Among the bad signs are the absence of curtains in the windows, a high number of empty lots, and newly completed but clearly vacant houses.  Metrostudy researchers say these are indicators that a developer may have badly overestimated demand and could soon be saddled with inventory. 
Brad Hunter, chief economist of Metrostudy, is projecting double-digit increases in new-home prices for the remainder of 2013.  He sees the speculative excess mostly gone from the market.  In 2014, though, Hunter forecasts that new-home prices will increase only 6 percent as interest rates continue their upward climb.  He concludes, "Mortgage rates could pose a challenge to affordability."
Source: "To Figure Out Where Real Estate Is Headed, Start Driving," Business Week (Aug. 5, 2013)
© Copyright 2013 Information Inc.
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Friday, August 2, 2013

Industry Cracks Down on Listing Scraping

The real estate industry is taking steps to prevent scraping — or data piracy — of online real estate listings.
Realtor.com said earlier this year that it is making efforts to block automated bots from trying to scrape listing data from its more than 1 million pages per day. 
“Scraping happens everyday, and it’s something that’s surprisingly inexpensive for cybercriminals to do,” Amit Kulkarni, Move’s creative director, said in a blog post detailing realtor.com’s efforts to curb scraping. 
The latest company to step in and join anti-scraping efforts: Distil Networks, a technology company, that says it will be developing an “industrywide intelligence network” for the real estate industry to identify those who scrape real estate listing data without permission, Inman News reports. 
To date, 12 MLSs have signed on with the Distil service on their public Web sites and 23 are reportedly considering using the company soon. The program helps to identify scrapers among the legitimate traffic to your site. According to Distil officials, every site that has used its program has discovered scraping of its data. 
“I think that anyone that doesn’t feel they have a scraping problem — unless they have the best technology people on staff — is living in a fool’s paradise,” says Rosemary Scardina, CEO of East Bay Regional Data Inc., which became the first MLS to try Distil in beta testing in February. “It wasn’t a matter of if I had a scraping problem, it was a matter of how bad the scraping problem was.” By blocking scrapers from the site, Distill officials say the site was then able to load twice as fast and improved the visitors’ experience. 
Clareity Consulting, a real estate consulting firm which approached Distill about creating anti-scraping software for the real estate industry, has also helped to create a new nonprofit organization dedicated to protect the intellectual property rights of multiple listing services and brokerages. One of the main missions of REDPLAN Inc. — Real Estate Data Protection Legal Association Network — is to inform those who scrape MLS data without permission that MLSs will enforce their intellectual property rights. It serves as a network of industry officials that alert one another about data thefts and serves as a legal clearinghouse to decide which cases to actively pursue. 
Source: “Coordinated Effort to Target Real Estate Scrapers Underway,” Inman News (Aug.1, 2013)
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Thursday, August 1, 2013

Survey: Rising Rates Getting Sellers Nervous

Home sellers are becoming increasingly worried about rising interest rates and their impact on home-buying demand, according to a new Redfin survey of nearly 1,500 home owners across the country. 
Forty-seven percent of survey respondents said they are concerned that rising rates could lower demand before they get their homes on the market. That's more than double the percentage from the previous quarter. 
"Of course home sellers are worried about interest rates, but the reality is that many buyers believe that rates will continue to go up," said Eric Tan, a Redfin Los Angeles real estate professional. "They know if they don't move now, they might be kicking themselves all over again in three months."
Eighty-five percent of respondents said they believe home prices will rise in their areas within the next year. Seventeen percent said they expect the rise to be "a lot."
"Results from our seller survey point to growing confidence in the U.S. economy and recognition that broad economic gains could erode sellers' advantages in the housing market as mortgage rates rise," said Ellen Haberle, a Redfin economist.
Home owners identified a "life event" as their top reason for selling, followed by "rising prices," according to the survey.
Source: Redfin
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