Wednesday, October 22, 2014

September Marked 2014 High in Home Sales

5DAILY REAL ESTATE NEWS | WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 22, 2014
Existing-home sales bounced back in September, surging to the highest annual pace of the year, according to the latest report from the National Association of REALTORS®. All regions except for the Midwest reported gains in sales last month.
The Future's So Bright
“Low interest rates and price gains holding steady led to September’s healthy increase, even with investor activity remaining on par with last month’s marked decline,” says Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Traditional buyers are entering a less competitive market with fewer investors searching for available homes, but may also face a slight decline of choices due to the fact that inventory generally falls heading into winter.” 
Existing-home sales rose 2.4 percent in September, reaching an annual rate of 5.17 million. Sales are at the highest pace of 2014 but remain 1.7 percent below the 5.26 million level from last September, NAR reports.  
Snapshot of Housing Indicators for September
  • Home prices: The median existing-home price was $209,700 in September, 5.6 percent higher than a year ago. It is the 31st consecutive month for year-over-year price gains. 
  • Days on market: Homes stayed on the market longer in September — 56 days, compared with 53 days in August. Short sales remained on the market for a median 116 days in September, while foreclosures sold in 59 days. About 35 percent of homes sold in September were on the market for less than a month, according to NAR. 
  • Inventory: Total housing inventory dropped 1.3 percent to 2.30 million existing-homes for-sale, representing a 5.3-month supply at the current sales pace. Unsold inventory is 6 percent higher than a year ago.
  • All-cash sales: Sales involving all cash made up 24 percent of transactions in September, down from 33 percent compared to a year prior. 
  • Distressed homes: Foreclosures and short sales rose slightly in September to 10 percent, from 8 percent in August. Distressed sales, however, are down from 14 percent a year ago. Foreclosures and short sales in September sold for an average discount of 14 percent below market value.
By the Region
Here’s an overview of how existing-home sales performed across the country in September: 
  • Northeast: Existing-home sales rose 1.5 percent to an annual rate of 680,000, but were 1.4 percent below sales levels from a year ago. Median price: $249,800 (up 4.8 percent from a year ago)
  • Midwest: Existing-home sales fell 5.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.17 million, and remain 4.9 percent below September 2013 levels. Median price: $165,100 (up 4.9 percent from a year ago)
  • South: Existing-home sales rose 5 percent to an annual rate of 2.12 million, and are 1.4 percent higher than September 2013. Median price: $180,900 (up 5.1 percent from a year ago)
  • West: Existing-home sales surged 7.1 percent to an annual rate of 1.20 million, remaining 4 percent below levels from a year ago. Median price: $294,200 (up 4 percent from a year ago)


Tuesday, October 21, 2014

10 Best ZIP Codes in 2014

The ZIP code of the country's best place to call home is 20004, according to real estate company Movoto.com. Right smack in the heart of the nation's capital, it's where you'll find portions of the Smithsonian museums, Ford's Theatre, and it's close to the White House. The ZIP code boasts an average household income of $131,111 and an unemployment rate of 1.93 percent.
It's All About the ZIP
Movoto ranked the following top 10 ZIP codes top for 2014:
  1. 20004: Washington, D.C.
  2. 77005: Houston
  3. 98039: Medina, Wash.
  4. 95497: Sea Ranch, Calif.
  5. 11930: Amagansett, N.Y.
  6. 92121: San Diego
  7. 60603: Chicago
  8. 60602: Chicago
  9. 67230: Wichita, Kan.
  10. 64113: Kansas City, Mo.
To compile its rankings, Movoto factored in data from the U.S. Census' American Community Survey, researching ZIP codes for median household income (the higher, the better); unemployment rate (the lower, the better); average commute time (the lower, the better); median rent (higher rents indicate a more desirable area); median house worth (higher values indicate a more desirable area); and more.
Source: “These Are the Best ZIP Codes in America,” Movoto.com (Sept. 30, 2014)


Markets Still Plagued by Inventory Crunch



The number of homes for sale is still low in many markets: Supply nationwide in September was at five and a half months; most economists consider a normal level to be six to seven months. The supply of new homes was even lower, at nearly five months, according to realtor.com®'s September National Housing Trend Report.
Inventories Show Signs of Improvements
"To truly relieve the inventory shortage on a sustained basis, new-home construction needs to rise by at least 50 percent from the current levels," says Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS®. 
The following markets have posted some of the biggest drops in listings year-over-year:
  • Las Vegas: -37.9%
  • San Jose, Calif.: -36.2%
  • Columbus, Ohio: -29%
  • Cincinnati: -26.5%
  • Houston: -25.2%
  • Washington, D.C.: -25%
  • San Francisco: -23.4%
  • Chicago: -22.8%
Meanwhile, in some markets, home buyers have found more choices in the past year. These markets have seen the biggest growth in inventory levels year-over-year:
  • Honolulu: +27.5%
  • Orlando, Fla.: +25.8%
  • Miami: +22%
  • Charleston, W.Va.: +20.1%
Nationwide, the median age of inventory fell slightly year-over-year in September due to the reduced number of homes on the market, according to realtor.com®. Homes spent about 90 days on the market in September, three days less than a year ago.
Also, median listing prices held steady for the fourth consecutive month, maintaining a 7.7 percent gain year-over-year. The median list price in September was $214,900 nationwide.


Monday, October 20, 2014

Fannie, Freddie to Loosen Up on Lending

The regulator of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is reportedly working on a deal with the financing entities that will loosen up lending standards and make mortgages more affordable for those with less-than-perfect credit. The move is expected to expand home buyers’ access to financing, as tight credit the last few years has kept many sidelined. 
The new rules reportedly will include a lower minimum down payment requirement (from 5 percent to 3 percent), in order for lenders to qualify to sell a loan to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. That would bring down payment in sync with the Federal Housing Administration, which insures loans made to lower-income borrowers and first-time buyers. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac guarantee about 59 percent of all mortgages written.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which regulates Fannie and Freddie, reportedly will include more safety measures to help lenders protect themselves from making bad loans. Lenders have faced numerous high-dollar settlements after issuing loans that later defaulted. The new agreement would give greater confidence to lenders so they won’t be penalized years after a loan is made, The Wall Street Journal reports. 
The potential agreement “would allow credit to flow more freely to lower- and middle-income households,” Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, told The Wall Street Journal. “That’s vital to getting the housing recovery moving forward.”
During the financial crisis, the financing giants faced steep losses as home loans defaulted. The spike was blamed on poor underwriting by lenders in ensuring that borrowers could afford their mortgages. In response, the companies, which were seized by the government in 2008, have had banks tighten their credit standards, which some critics say has gone too far and prevented many home buyers from qualifying for a home loan. 
The Urban Institute has estimated that 1.2 million more mortgages would have been issued in 2012 alone if lending standards that were commonly used in 2001 were still in place. 
"Understandably, after the [financial] crisis the pendulum of mortgage credit standards swung to a far extreme” Paul Leonard, California director of the Center for Responsible Lending, told the Los Angeles Times. “It's now working its way back to a more moderate position.”
The FHFA is expected to formally announce the plans later this week. 
Source: “Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Reach Deal to Ease Mortgage Lending,” Los Angeles Times (Oct. 17, 2014) and “Mortgage Giants Set to Loosen Lending,” The Wall Street Journal (Oct. 17, 2014)


Thursday, October 16, 2014

Foreclosures Back to Pre-Crisis Levels

A new sign that the foreclosure crisis may largely be in the rearview mirror, new filings in the third quarter of this year were down 16 percent from a year ago — bringing overall foreclosure activity down to its level before the housing crisis, according to RealtyTrac's Foreclosure Market Report. What's more, default notices, scheduled auctions, and bank repossessions in September dropped 9 percent from the previous month and were down 19 percent from a year ago. That's the lowest level since July 2006.
Not so fast. Could it be that thedip in foreclosures is only temporary?
"September foreclosure activity was back to pre-housing-bubble levels nationwide, in large part thanks to a continued slide in bank repossessions," says Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. "However, a recent rise in scheduled foreclosure auctions in many markets across the country shows lenders are continuing to clean house of lingering delinquent loans. This rise in scheduled auctions foreshadows a corresponding rise in bank repossessions and auction sales to third-party buyers in the coming months."
While foreclosure filings fell last month, they were up slightly by 0.42 percent in the third quarter from the previous quarter. It's a small percentage, but it does mark the first quarterly increase since the third quarter of 2011, according to RealtyTrac. The uptick was largely attributed to a 2 percent increase in default notices and a 7 percent quarterly increase in scheduled foreclosure auctions.
That proves the foreclosure crisis isn't over in every market quite yet. Default notices in the third quarter rose from a year ago in 10 states, including Indiana (up 59%); Oklahoma (49%); Massachusetts (38%); New Jersey (19%); Iowa (12%); and New York (2%).
Lenders are taking longer to process foreclosures, too. The foreclosure process took an average of 615 days in the third quarter, up 13 percent from a year ago. That's the longest average time to complete a foreclosure since RealtyTrac began tracking such data in 2007. The states with the longest foreclosure wait times are New Jersey (1,064 days); Florida (951 days); Hawaii (937 days); New York (902 days); and Illinois (889 days).
The five states with the highest foreclosure rates in the third quarter were:
  • Florida
  • Maryland
  • New Jersey
  • Nevada
  • Illinois
Source: RealtyTrac


Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Major Incentives for Home Buyers This Fall

Homebuilders are throwing in some extras to lure home buyers back this fall. For example, 10 homebuilders in a new suburban Phoenix community called Bridges at Gilbert are offering swimming pools, built-in barbecues, and subsidized mortgages.
Unique Incentives
Joseph Beben, a home buyer in the Phoenix area, says he chose to have a house built by Woodside Homes, which agreed to cover up to $10,000 of his closing costs as well as the price of a swimming pool. Beben will pay $332,000 for a 3,000-square-foot house. 
"Builders in volatile housing markets, such as Phoenix, Sacramento, Las Vegas, and Orlando, are sweetening offers as sales slow," Bloomberg Business reports.
The large increases in home prices last year have discouraged some buyers. The number of new-home communities in Phoenix rose by a third in the past year to 457, but sales per community dropped 45 percent last month from a year prior, according to Jim Belfiore, president of Belfiore Real Estate Consulting.
Builders in Nevada also saw a big drop in sales this year. In Las Vegas, new-home sales surged 32 percent in 2013 — but in the first eight months of this year, they have fallen 26 percent from the previous year, says Dennis Smith, president of Home Builders Research, a Las Vegas-based consulting company. A similar trend is taking hold in Sacramento, Calif., where new-home sales plunged 16 percent last month year-over-year.
Builders are beginning to discount homes and look for ways to boost sales. Orlando builders, for example, reportedly are advertising discounts and appliance packages, as well as offering to cover closing costs, after new-home sales dropped 19 percent year-over-year in June.
Buyers are enjoying being the drivers at the moment in some of these markets. Bob Berg, a retiree from Chicago, was looking for homes in the Phoenix area. "A couple of builders said to me, 'What will it take for you to buy this home?'" Berg says. "That's kind of drastic when they say something like that. It tells me they want to move that home."
Source: "Homebuilders Offer Goodies as Sales Slow," Bloomberg BusinessWeek  (Oct. 9, 2014)


10 Best College Towns for House Flippers

College towns have long been known as havens for investors looking to cash in on rentals or turn a profit on a home flip. RealtyTrac recently ranked the best college towns for flippers in 2014.
Want to Flip? Know This
RealtyTrac analyzed public four-year universities that had enrollment of 20,000 or more as of 2012 and also were located in counties that had unemployment rates below the national average of 6.2 percent. The top 10 college towns for flipping were ranked based on the average gross return on investment (ROI) percentage for single-family home flips there during the first eight months of 2014. (Note: Some college towns did not have sufficient sales or flipping data to be included in the rankings).
Here are the college towns that topped RealtyTrac's 2014 list:
  1. University of Minnesota (Minneapolis)
    Average gross flip profit: $105,292
    ROI: 65.59%
  2. University of Washington (Seattle)
    Average gross flip profit: $168,247
    ROI: 61.88%
  3. University of Nebraska (Lincoln, Neb.)
    Average gross flip profit: $53,763
    ROI: 55.01%
  4. San Francisco State (San Francisco)
    Average gross flip profit: $402,790
    ROI: 54.16%
  5. Thomas Edison State College (Trenton, N.J.)
    Average gross flip profit: $40,497
    ROI: 48.06%
  6. University of Florida (Gainesville, Fla.)
    Average gross flip profit: $41,235
    ROI: 47.95%
  7. University of Colorado (Denver)
    Average gross flip profit: $103,658
    ROI: 45.86%
  8. University of Cincinnati
    Average gross flip profit: $45,929
    ROI: 44.88%
  9. University of Akron (Akron, Ohio)
    Average gross flip profit: $35,909
    ROI: 42.95%
  10. North Carolina State (Raleigh, N.C.)
    Average gross flip profit: $61,028
    ROI: 38.52%
Source: RealtyTrac